Events in the Maghreb and Middle East are focusing attention on similarly moribund regimes and ruling classes south of the Sahara.We start with Akin who contends that "We are not suited for the usual revolutions":
Nigeria is by no means ripe for a revolution, there are no components in place to make it the success we desire with blind optimism, we can do well to educate ourselves, participate fully in the democratic process we have, deign to hold the elected accountable and become better and coherent activists that demand positive action or expect the said leaders to resign in disgrace.Over to the CS Monitor where they pose the question "Why Tunisia's winds of change aren't blowing south to sub-Saharan Africa?".Reasons given include,weakness of civil society:
“In the absence of strong class identities, many African oppositions fail,” says Professor Mbembe of Witwatersrand University in Johannesburg. “If people identified as dispossessed and poor, then of course the majority would rebel against many nations of Africa. But people identify with ethnic affiliation, and so they remain quiet, or they rebel on a smaller scale and are easily dealt with.”While over at 3QuarksDaily Robert P. Bair titles his post "TUNISIA, EGYPT, UGANDA?". Drawing upon a thread that paints a different picture to the seemingly placid societal dynamics in that east African country:
Andrew Mwenda and Charles Onyango-Obbo, two respected political commentators here, have both suggested that Museveni has already constructed the same kind of economic-demographic trap that brought down Ben Ali. They argue that too many educated youth, not enough jobs, and an environment of thoroughgoing corruption have set the stage for a revolutionary aggregate of dissatisfaction.
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| Africa's youth bulge |
Update: The Arab to Africa revolt meme continues with Tristan McConnell's piece "African leaders are warily watching Egypt"
Update 2 World bank "Africa has the largest share of young people" invest in them or reap the whirlwind:
Update 3 Meanwhile inhabiting a parallel universe "Far from revolts, African leaders talk shared values"
Update 4 Why Some African leaders are smiling at the storm in North Africa
Update 5 Young Sudanese Start Protest Movement
Update 5 Gabon: The Invisible Revolt
Update 6 A revolution is Coming-The Book
Update 7 Now that Egypt's Mubarak is out, could Gabon's Bongo be next?
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